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Market note

Market note: AESO flags clustering of applications at 74.9 MW

Applications gathering just under the 75 MW threshold tell you something about how proponents are reading the framework.

TwelveSix Services Ltd.August 5, 20263 min readAlberta Electric System Operator (AESO)

AESO has flagged a clustering of data centre connection applications at 74.9 MW — immediately below the 75 MW threshold.

The pattern is not subtle, and it is worth reading plainly. Proponents are sizing to stay under a threshold rather than sizing to the opportunity. That is a rational response to a framework where the treatment on either side of a line differs materially.

Two implications follow. First, announced capacity figures in this band should be read as regulatory artefacts as much as engineering decisions. Second, the threshold is under active watch, and a project structured entirely around staying beneath it carries policy risk that a project structured around its own economics does not.

We factor this into how we assess any Alberta site presented at just under 75 MW.

Read at Alberta Electric System Operator (AESO)
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